Let’s compare the Pools with Roulette. Many would see Roulette as a random gambling game. Of course it isn’t, at least from the point of view of the casino. The ‘House’ – that is, the casino – has an edge. In Europe, that edge is 2.70%, set by law, but that’s all that’s required in the long run to ensure that the House makes a profit. So, the fundamental approach to winning at the football pools is to make sure you have and edge – that is, the odds of winning are biased slightly in your favour from evens. Generally football teams play broadly to form, though not all results are in line with form, which is what makes it work for the football pools companies. I contend that it is possible to identify a strategy which optimises the odds of a win.
Best odds
Use bets whose odds are similar to their payouts, betting on Even, Odd, Low, (numbers 1 to 18), High, (numbers 19 to 36), Red, or Black. These bets pay out odds of 1: 1. Your odds of winning are just under half, making it a good way to bet, that maximizes your bankroll. So, what are the basic elements in a strategy to improve one’s odds of a win? One element is the way in which the entry is placed. Specific plans and perms are important. These are the ways of entering multiple lines on the weekly entry, offering differing levels of ‘coverage’ and ‘guarantee’, which has to be measured against your budget and attitude to risk. This is a whole sub-genre in its own right, with many adherents to both causes, and many arguments too. Strong cases on each side – and that usually means that the difference is marginal, with plans offering specific and limited guarantees and full perms offering 100% guarantee (provided you have of course selected 8 score draws in your entry) but fewer matches covered for a given budget.
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